Cancer's Great Rise - Safe & Effective #14

Cancer deaths are increasing impossibly quickly... unless we did something to cause this.

Last June I shared some of the Ethical Skeptic’s cancer analysis which chowed a substantial increase in cancers that started right around April of 2021.

Safe & Effective #2: Where *did* this Cancer come from?

The midwits came out in (relative) force both in the comments to that piece and when I posted it to Facebook, which merited this takedown of such midwits who yell “but correlation doesn’t equal causation”

Midwits in Action: But Correlation Doesn't Equal Causation

As noted in both pieces, the ties of the vaccine to aggressive cancers was one that I sincerely hoped that skeptics like myself were wrong about. The majority of people I know were deceived into getting the jabs.

But let’s review the facts of the case, all of which are laid out (and sourced) in the two pieces above:

1. Cancer deaths started to rise dramatically vs. trend starting in April of 2021

2. The magnitude of the rise is substantial such that there is essentially no chance (1-in-3.5 billion) that the rise is due to random variation.

3. The timing of the increase, April 2021, aligns tightly with when the Covid vaccines were being rolled out.

4. The rise in cancer deaths was not a momentary blip. Rather, it sustained through June of 2022 and, as we’ll get to, has sustained through today.

5. There is a clear and plausible mechanism, backed at every step by peer-reviewed science, by which the vaccine would cause a weakened immune system response to cancer cells, allowing cancers to spread aggressively.

As they say on Law & Order, “these are the facts of the case.” If anyone would like to rebut any of these points, I’d happily entertain it, but the first four are nothing but basic statistics from data that is provided directly by the CDC and are about as close to “grass is green” as you can get in today’s world. And on the fifth point: both articles above contain links to five peer-reviewed articles that lay out this possibility sequentially: that is enough to hold a “clear and plausible” standard of evidence.

But let’s check in on where we are today, in February of 2023. I first warned about the Covid vaccines publicly in November of 2021, and the above case around cancer was made in June of 2022. What has the last nine months brought us?

Cancer Check-in

It’s not looking good out there.

With nine more months of data, cancer deaths have risen to the highest levels we’ve seen in recent history.

In order to ensure that I am providing an accurate assessment, I’ve gone through deriving Ethical Skeptic’s analysis based on the raw CDC data.

And a benefit of that is that I can take you through this step-by-step.

First off, here are cancer deaths by week from 2014 through to the end of 2019:

Each little blue dot is a single week. And the solid trend line here is the four week moving average - done to make the picture a bit more clear.

Now what we can do is to establish a baseline of what cancer deaths should be based on previous years. We can do this just by taking an average of previous years and aligning that to the current year. This means that for, say, the first week of April 2018, we’d set a baseline of the average of that same week in 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017. This is reasonable and broadly how the CDC and many other organizations calculate excess death: develop a baseline from previous years and subtract that from the number of actual deaths.

As you can see, if we do this through 2019 all looks well and good:

Actual cancer deaths are sometimes above the benchmark, sometimes below it, as we’d expect.

But as we all know, things got weird in 2020. Although actually… cancer deaths did not really deviate: our benchmark still largely holds. You likely may not even notice the difference between the previous chart and this one (which includes 2020):

So here we are: we’ve had Covid around for about a year and the whole world has changed. But cancer is about as steady a force, sadly, as there is out there. A national statistic such as the number of cancer deaths in a nation of 330 million people is just incredibly hard to move dramatically.

I’ll say that again, this time in bold: a national statistic such as the number of cancer deaths in a nation of 330 million people is just incredibly hard to move dramatically.

First, let’s draw out the baseline (orange line) based on what we’d expect. We’ll adjust slightly for annual growth and an expected pull forward from the excess death of 2020, but it’d look broadly the same:

And now, finally we can do it. Enter Fauci and the Pharma Bros from stage right. Let’s see what happens to cancer deaths:

And just to make the picture a bit clearer, let’s quantify the Pharma Bros’ influence on the situation with a red line representing the average number of Covid jabs received per person in the U.S.:

Notice when the blue and orange line separate: early April of 2021. We all remember that time and our red line confirms: this was just a bit into the peak rollout of the Covid “vaccines”.

In total, the gap between our blue and orange line since early 2021 represents the Pharma Bros’ death toll from cancer alone. That number? 42,000 and growing at a rate of about 600 per week.

And I can’t stress this enough: this kind of movement in such a steady statistic is unprecedented. Quite literally, cancer deaths have never moved like this before.

Never. N. E. V. E. R.

It is not a coincidence that this coincided with a massive never-before-tried experiment on injecting most of the country with an incredibly novel treatment regiment: mRNA vaccines.

Let us all hope that this is the peak of human stupidity, for we may not be able to survive anything dumber.

What is clear now, almost nine months after my original posts on this, is that the change in cancer deaths was not a momentary blip. It was not the result of missed screenings during Covid. This is a systemic level shift of a terrifying magnitude that can only be due to an explicit action taken in early 2021.

An Aside

Oh by the way, guess what is the biggest single segment of pharmaceutical sales and is expected to double in the next five years?

And yeah, guess who is big and expecting big growth in cancer? Pfizer!

And sure, we’d expect the same pharma giants who produce vaccines would also make cancer drugs. But perhaps that is a conflict of interest. Perhaps knowing that more cancer leads to more profit led certain people to not worry about some little uptick in cancer.

Honestly, we never even tested these vaccines or mRNA long enough in humans to even know or find this cancer link. And that is the most insane part of all this: we pushed the entire planet into the world’s biggest lab test without so much as a thought of “what if this went wrong?”

Some Necessary Footnotes

I do want to call out several calculations/adjustments made to the raw data in producing this analysis. Each is quite defensible, but are worth documenting:

• Pull forward effect - expected deaths in 2021 and beyond are shifted downward to account for the excess death seen in 2020. This has been covered in academia copiously dubbed as the “dry tinder” effect, which notes that we often see and should expect to see a decline in excess death the year after seeing a lot of excess death because that excess death (Covid in this case) killed a lot of people who were likely to die in the next 5 years anyway. This effect averages only ~92 cancer deaths per week through the analysis period.

• Shifting of excess “unknown cause of deaths” - any recent CDC data has a large pile of unclassified deaths where the cause isn’t immediately known. These ultimately get resolved into one of their categories. To account for this, we approximate that these will get equivalently proportioned across all causes of death in rough proportion to what they usually are. This effect averages only ~106 cancer deaths per week, concentrated toward 2022.

• Shifting of Covid-parked deaths - since the start of 2022, the CDC started a “system upgrade” which seems to have been used as pretext for throwing a lot more deaths into the Covid death with cancer as an underlying second condition. Prior to 2022, only about 5% of Covid deaths had cancer as a condition. After the system upgrade, this rose to an unbelievable 23%. We adjust for this. This has no effect on 2021 data, but has an effect in 2022 of approximately 300 deaths per week.
  Here is the Ethical Skeptic’s analysis of this particular phenomenon:

  

• Lag - we also exclude the last six weeks (the start of 2023) because the data is lagged. That said, early adjustments to this data suggest a continuance of the trend we’ve seen since April of 2021.

All of this now exists as a parameterized spreadsheet. If you are interested, whether as a critic or as a researcher, I am happy to provide it to you and walk you through the adjustments. Frankly, while one could quibble with some of the exact parameters, the work stands robust any honest and informed interpretation of the data. The facts of the case do not change.

The Conclusion

It brings me no joy to confirm the Ethical Skeptic’s analysis. This is the kind of thing you want to be wrong about.

But it is also one of the many reasons why our panicked hurry to vaccinate the world was insanely misguided. And this is just one of the proofpoints, easy to spot because the signal is so large. But these 42,000 lives are only about 10% or so of the total cost of life due to these vaccines.

There is a lot we have to do to in response to such a profound and costly failure. But the first step is establishing the truth and agreeing on it: the Covid jabs cause deadly cancer. If you have a rational and evidence-backed rebuttal to this, I’m all ears, but you are going to have to have a robust explanation as to how a metric as stable as cancer deaths could be seeing this kind of movement.

So for now, stop getting jabbed. Stop your family from getting jabbed, and stop listening to anyone who ever told you to get jabbed in the first place (at least when it comes to matters of some importance). Stop the harms first, then we can hold the perpetrators of this deadly fraud responsible for their actions.